Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.167803 1.323623 1.493572 1.692865 1.920395 2.172325 2.472787
2026-01-25 0.906821 1.113308 1.358037 1.670235 2.059032 2.528715 3.141343
2026-02-01 0.751758 0.974614 1.254202 1.632203 2.132248 2.774302 3.666399
2026-02-08 0.643119 0.871159 1.170690 1.595216 2.185188 2.981587 4.147452
2026-02-15 0.577619 0.812788 1.134266 1.609076 2.298116 3.270219 4.760753
2026-02-22 0.519053 0.755303 1.089850 1.602376 2.375382 3.509860 5.323299
2026-03-01 0.466885 0.700211 1.041288 1.581402 2.425039 3.708528 5.839837
2026-03-08 0.413579 0.637333 0.973917 1.523105 2.408583 3.800554 6.193886
2026-03-15 0.380299 0.601393 0.943182 1.517062 2.470977 4.018535 6.770422
2026-03-22 0.366939 0.595160 0.957552 1.583432 2.655570 4.450097 7.749734
2026-03-29 0.340493 0.565031 0.930314 1.577511 2.716895 4.679005 8.398856
2026-04-05 0.322258 0.546728 0.920568 1.599573 2.827219 5.000887 9.247251
2026-04-12 0.297517 0.517640 0.894194 1.597853 2.909585 5.307663 10.157634
2026-04-19 0.271336 0.484016 0.857629 1.575810 2.956087 5.561571 11.017659
2026-04-26 0.246443 0.449980 0.816521 1.540054 2.971111 5.755327 11.781179
2026-05-03 0.224656 0.419371 0.778404 1.505263 2.982886 5.942173 12.553344
2026-05-10 0.211337 0.403312 0.765740 1.518301 3.090925 6.333723 13.814371
2026-05-17 0.197063 0.383961 0.744732 1.511998 3.157757 6.646707 14.944978
2026-05-24 0.182733 0.363102 0.718674 1.492269 3.193353 6.896237 15.964903
2026-05-31 0.166197 0.336255 0.678053 1.437427 3.146027 6.957509 16.549488
2026-06-07 0.156057 0.321632 0.661102 1.431742 3.207245 7.269564 17.785220
2026-06-14 0.152986 0.321534 0.674451 1.494178 3.430992 7.983796 20.130398
2026-06-21 0.144174 0.308318 0.658496 1.488609 3.494566 8.325250 21.567053